Oxygen...Please!


by Laurel S. McQueen MADDUXResearch@aol.com

 

Tampa Bay’s retail market continues to suffer. All five counties surveyed recorded significant losses the last six-month period. Leasing rates continue to fall. Ten more anchor boxes were vacated. And, at rates least five Publix supermarkets closed though they remain under lease. The amount of empty big box space in the region (including Publix’s) swelled by one-fourth from last period to 2.0-million sf.

Whew!

Maddux - Business Park Report

We’re trying to find some good news, folks. If there is a bright side it would be this: four empty boxes got new tenants. And, if you’re a healthy retailer needing space ... take your pick! Pasco remains the only county with a positive volume the last 12 months, but only slightly. Anchor space was leased at two centers. But it wasn’t enough – three departing anchors forced a market loss. The county’s vacancy rate climbed another 2.1 points, remaining the region’s highest.

Hillsborough recorded losses in three of four sub-markets. Two anchor tenants closed in the northeast, one in the northwest. Anchor space was leased to Aldi at University Plaza in the northeast and to buybuy BABY at Lake Brandon Village. The county’s 12-month volume improved to a lesser negative. The south/east sub-market has now squeaked out two periods of slight growth. (As we said, we’re trying to look for the positive.) Yet over the last two years, Hillsborough has lost 559,750 sf in retail occupancy.

Pinellas’ losses were concentrated primarily in small store closings. The vacated Publix space at the Market Place across from Tyrone Mall was leased to LA Fitness, helping south county slide into the plus side. However, four Publix boxes closed in south and mid-county as the company continues to consolidate its purchase of the Albertson’s portfolio. These boxes remain under Publix’s control so they are not included in the leasing activity. Rents dropped an average of $0.63 per sf; mid-county had the largest at $1.10 per sf.

Sarasota’s loss this period was about half that reported six months ago. Thus, its annual loss improved. Two anchor boxes closed this period while the 4 Sale (Car) Museum opened in Englewood.

Maddux - Business Park Report

In Manatee, one anchor tenant shut down this period hurting the county’s activity. This, combined with six smaller moveouts, pushed the vacancy rate up 1.3 points. Rents dropped an average of $0.26 per sf.

The figures for big box space are reflected in our analysis (except for the Publix sites still under lease). However, we break big boxes out separately (see chart below) because of the trend revealed, below including Publix sites. A year ago, the region’s vacant big box space totaled 1.14-million sf vs. 2.0-million today.

The chart below indicates the total square footage of vacant big box space in each county and the number of boxes represented. Big boxes are spaces with 30,000 sf or more. Sections of five of these boxes have been re-leased to smaller tenants.

Vacant Big Box Space in Shopping Centers
Hillsborough 571,230 sf   Pinellas 462,700 sf
Manatee 162,520 sf   Sarasota 379,150 sf
Pasco 420,550 sf   REGION 1,996,150 sf


Shopping centers fully leased for two or more periods do not appear in the survey charts. All shopping centers with at least five tenants and a minimum of 40,000 sf continue to be updated in the database each half-year. For more detailed information on the survey call MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT Business Report research department at 727.321.3225 or email MADDUXResearch@AOL.com.


©2010 Maddux Business Report

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