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Are You Numb Yet?


by Laurel S. McQueen MADDUXResearch@aol.com

 

TAMPA BAY’S OFFICE MARKET continues its downward tumble. Over the last 12 months the region has experienced a net loss in activity of nearly a million square feet – the region’s sharpest loss in 25 years.

All six counties surveyed experienced greater vacancy rates from last period. For every 1,000 square feet of multi-tenant office space in the region, 200 square feet stand vacant. All counties but Pasco have seen move-outs top move-ins over the past 12 months. And, finally, asking rents have begun to drop.

Maddux - Business Park Report

Pasco is the market’s one aberration with a 12-month growth of 158,000 sf. Even so, its vacancy rate climbed to the highest in the region – 29.5 percent – and its asking rents were slashed from last quarter by an average of $1.27, or 7.6 percent.

As Hillsborough’s office market goes, so goes the region. Three submarkets managed small gains the first quarter, but they were far outweighed by Westshore’s losses. The county’s 12-month loss accounts for three out of every four feet lost regionally. Its vacancy rate ratcheted up by 1.1 points. Anecdotally, effective rents are falling as liberal concessions are being granted to get anyone in the door.

The past 12 months, Westshore has marked over a half-million sf of losses – nearly 80 percent of the county’s downturn. The I-75 Corridor is Hillsborough’s only submarket to show an annualized gain, recording three small positive quarters out of the last four. Downtown took a breather this quarter from consecutive losses.

Maddux - Business Park Report

Pinellas was the county with the region’s greatest quarterly loss, at 141,740 sf. All five submarkets contributed. Downtown St. Petersburg benefited from the signing of the first lease at 100 Bay Central (space vacated in 2007 by Florida Progress). But that was overshadowed as the lease expired on space vacated earlier by BB&T at First Central Tower. North county had the other big loss, almost all of it at Prestige Place in Countryside.

Sarasota now has experienced losses in three of the last four quarters, precipitating its first annualized loss in eight years. Downtown is the hardest hit of the county’s submarkets. Asking rents for the county dropped an average of $.20 per sf.

Manatee reported a quarterly gain, but 12-month activity slipped a bit more into the negative. Asking rents dropped $.28 per sf. The vacancy rate jumped by 2.1 points, primarily because three buildings with large vacancies were added to the survey.

Polk, after four quarters of nominal action, was hit this period with its largest loss in 17 years, since this magazine began covering the county. Its vacancy rate climbed by 2.5 points.

The region still has over 510,000 sf of space available for sublease. Factoring this in would push the market’s vacancy rate up to 21.1 percent. Moreover, more than 900,000 sf of space is under construction in the region, only 12 percent of which is reported as pre-leased. And nearly one-half million sf of existing space that’s reported as opening up in the next 12 months is being actively marketed.



Only multi-tenant office buildings are surveyed, a minimum of 25,000 sf in Hillsborough and Pinellas and of 15,000 sf in the other counties. Buildings fully leased for two or more quarters do not appear in the survey charts, though all are updated quarterly. Survey charts may include sub-lease space, which is not in the analysis. For more detailed information on the survey call MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT Business Report research department at 727.321.3225 or email MADDUXResearch@AOL.com.


©2009 Maddux Business Report

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