Sinking Deeper and Deeper


by Laurel S. McQueen MADDUXResearch@aol.com

 

THE REGION’S OFFICE ACTIVITY FOR 12 MONTHS has gone negative for the first time in the 24 years the MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT has been publishing. It’s down by almost 300,000 sf. That’s because Hillsborough and Pinellas counties are each in the red by about 300,000 sf. The other four counties are in the black for the same period.

This period and the previous two have suffered the region’s lowest annualized volumes we’ve ever reported. The region has shifted from job gains of 40,000 to 50,000 a year to a loss of 15,000 to 20,000 jobs this year. That’s a tremendous swing in momentum. Thus the impact on office space.

Maddux - Business Park Report

Hardest hit in Hillsborough has been what’s called Class B space – that occupancy is off by 471,250 sf for the 12 months. Meantime, the Class A occupancy is up a comparatively healthy 170,420 sf. Pinellas on the other hand is down in both Class A and B space, by 146,000 sf and 157,000 sf, respectively.

Meanwhile, Sarasota County is the region’s strongest market with a 12-month volume of just over 150,000 sf. Most of the activity is in the I-75 Corridor.

Pasco is in its strongest position in four years. Almost all of this quarter’s activity was at Trinity in the county’s southwest corner. The county’s vacancy rate shrank by nearly four points, although it’s still the region’s greatest at 27.9 percent.

Pinellas, after three quarters of losses, finally saw some positive activity, especially in the Countryside and downtown St. Petersburg markets. Downtown benefited from filling medical space in a new building attached to Bayfront Medical Center. Most of Countryside’s activity was at Prestige Place.

Maddux - Business Park Report

Back to Hillsborough, the region’s largest office market has endured three consecutive quarters of net losses. Through the years, the county experienced other 12-month periods of loss, but this one is the deepest. In Westshore, construction was completed on Tri- Pointe Plaza and Cypress Bay Corporate Center II, adding 68,000 sf to the inventory with 72 percent available. Along the I-75 Corridor, construction was completed on Intellicenter at Tampa Telecom Park – 200,000 sf with nothing leased; and construction began in that park on the 88,000-sf Parc Centre. Leases expired on three already empty buildings, totalling nearly 200,000 sf.

Manatee County is treading water with a negligible volume, both quarterly and annual.

Polk County’s 12-month volume dropped by 81 percent from last period. It experienced its first quarterly loss in three years, a modest 17,800 sf.

The region has over 540,000 sf of sublease space available. Factoring that into the market’s vacancy rate pushes it up one point to 18.3 percent. And, nearly a half million sf of space is coming available in the next 12 months.



Only multi-tenant office buildings are surveyed, a minimum of 25,000 sf in Hillsborough and Pinellas and of 15,000 sf in the other counties. Buildings fully leased for two or more quarters do not appear in the survey charts, though all are updated quarterly. Survey charts may include sub-lease space, which is not in the analysis. For more detailed information on the survey call MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT Business Report research department at 727.321.3225 or email MADDUXResearch@AOL.com.


©2008 Maddux Business Report

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