Wesley Chapel Still Takes the Lead


by Laurel S. McQueen MADDUXResearch@aol.com

 

AS THE ECONOMY CONTINUES TO FALTER, retail leasing across the bay area follows suit. On its face, the region’s six-month activity Athe appears robust with a net gain of 502,000 sf. However, were it not for four centers – two in Pasco and one each in Pinellas and Hills- borough – the volume would be a negative 239,000 sf. Across the region, 23 centers that were fully leased now have vacancy signs.

In Pasco, the Shops at Wiregrass opened in Wesley Chapel adding 646,000 sf of space to the site where J.C. Penney opened two years ago. Two new anchors here are Dillard’s and Macy’s plus 50 or so smaller shops. On the other side of Pasco the first phases of Trinity Town Center opened with over 77,000 sf leased. The county would otherwise have experienced a net loss of 58,300 sf; it continues to have the region’s highest vacancy rate.

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Cypress Creek Town Center, the 1-million sf big box mall at I- 75 and SR 56, is still shown as under construction and is actively being marketed, although construction remains suspended while a resolution of permitting problems is pursued. Pasco’s average rents climbed by $0.62 per sf from six months ago.

In Pinellas, the last phase of Park Street Center opened in south county, adding 64,370 sf of leased space. In mid-Pinellas, at Barclay Square, a WalMart Neighborhood Market has signed for previously vacant anchor space and will open in April 2009. Without these two, Pinellas would have experienced a net loss of nearly 49,000 sf. Meanwhile, local space at Shoppes at Royale in St. Petersburg is now open and its 85,000-sf Publix will open next spring. The county’s average rent climbed another $0.43 per sf from six months ago while average CAM charges (common area maintenance) dropped by $0.46 per sf.

Hillsborough squeaked out a small gain for the period, but the annual volume dropped solidly into loss territory. Publix gave a boost by leasing the vacant anchor box at Valrico Square in the southeast submarket. The other three submarkets all lost ground. Meanwhile, average rents moved up another $0.53 per sf while average CAM costs moved up $0.18 per sf. Hillsborough’s 42 community centers collectively lost 21,300 sf while its 97 neighborhood centers added 51,670 sf.

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Manatee nearly doubled the loss experienced the previous six months, so over the last year the county has slipped by more than 100,000 sf. The slide was fairly evenly dispersed between community and neighborhood centers. This period, rents finally reflected the losses by ticking downward, albeit only by $0.04 per sf. Average CAM charges continued to climb, by $0.27 per sf.

The story is nearly identical in Sarasota County – twice as much space vacated this period versus last. Community centers are suffering more than neighborhood centers. Yet the county’s rents notched up $0.09 per sf; CAM charges were up $0.26 per sf.

The number of empty big boxes in the market remained the same, but Hillsborough saw one less while Pinellas saw one more. This space is reflected in the analysis above, but we break it out separately because it shows a major trend. The chart below indicates the total big box space in each county and the number of spaces represented. Big boxes are defined as spaces of 30,000 sf or more. Parts of seven of these boxes have been re-leased to smaller tenants.

Hillsborough 147,600 (5)   Pinellas 205,900 (6)
Manatee 56,600 (2)   Sarasota 69,000 (2)
Pasco 125,750 (3)      


Shopping centers fully leased for two or more periods do not appear in the survey charts. All shopping centers with at least five tenants and a minimum of 40,000 sf continue to be updated in the database each half-year. For more detailed information on the survey call MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT Business Report research department at 727.321.3225 or email MADDUXResearch@AOL.com.


©2008 Maddux Business Report

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